Showing posts with label Charlaine Harris. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Charlaine Harris. Show all posts

Wednesday, 31 October 2012

Vampires exist!


Yes, people, they do! Or at least they might exist and their existence does not constitute any contradiction to modern science.

Well, there are plenty blood-sucking animals found in nature, and even humans need to drink the blood from their own spices sometimes just to survive. So, why cannot vampires (the creatures from the myths and legends, as we tend to think of them) exist too?

Most scientists use simple math to prove that the existence of vampires is not possible. Their line of argumentation is the following:
Assume that a vampire needs to feed only once a month (we ignore the mortality rate, since it is irrelevant here). When this process occurs, another vampire is created. If the countdown starts in 1600 AD or some other time around that (on the 1st of January 1600 the world’s population was 536 870 911), then by February 1600 there would be two vampires (one who turned a human into vampire to start with and another one who was a human but became a vampire after the encounter with a vampire). In March 1600 there would be four vampires in existence, and in April 1600 – eight vampires. Therefore, some scientists say, each month the number of vampires doubles and after n months there are 2^n vampires which gives us a geometric progression with ratio 2.

As some of you might know, the geometric progression is increases at a very quick pace and if you sit with a pencil and paper and calculate it for our vampires example, you will arrive to the conclusion that after 30 months there would be no humans left – everyone would be turned into a vampire and the humanity would be wiped out by June 1602. Even if human birth rate is included into our calculations, it remains a very small fraction deaths caused by the vampires and would have prolonged the extinction of human race by just one month. Therefore, some scientists conclude, vampires cannot exist, since their existence contradicts the existence of human beings. This logical proof is of a type known as reductio ad absurdum, that is, reduction to the absurd.


However, if one starts digging dipper, everything is not that straightforward. Some fiction authors,
Stephenie Meyer’s “Twilight series”, Charlaine Harris’s “Sookie Stockhouse (Southern Vampire) series”, “True Blood” (TV series) and Elizabeth Kostova’s “The Historian” show the world where vampires peacefully co-exist with humans.

In Stephenie Meyer’s “Twilight series” vampires can tolerate the sunlight, interact with humans (even fall in love with them) and drink animals’ blood to survive. Of course, they have to live in secrecy and pretend to be human beings. In “True Blood” TV series, however, a world is shown where vampires and humans live side-by-side and are aware of each other. Vampires can buy synthetic blood of different blood types that is sold in bottles and can be bought in every grocery store, bar or gas station. They cannot walk during daytime, so they usually come out at night. Humans also find use of vampires’ essence – vampires’ blood (called “V”) is a powerful hallucinogenic drug that is sought by humans and traded on the black market (sometimes humans capture vampires with the help of silver chains or harnesses and then kill them by draining their blood). Some humans even seek sex with vampires (vampires are stronger and faster than humans and can provide superb erotic experience). There is a possibility to turn a human being into a vampire, but it takes time and effort.
In Elizabeth Kostova’s novel “The Historian”, vampires are rare although real and do not reveal themselves to humans too often (except for the librarians whom for whom they seem to have a strange passion). Their food ratios are limited and they spend lots of time brooding in their well-hidden tombs.

Let us assume that at the time of the events described in the first book of the series, “Dead Until Dark” (2001), the world’s vampire hypothetical population was around five million (the population of the state of Louisiana in 2001 we arbitrarily use in our calculations). The initial conditions of the Harris-Meyer-Kostova model are the following: five million vampires, 6 159 million people, there are organized groups of vampire “drainers”.

Our calculations yield that the human population will be growing until 2046 when it reaches its peak of 9.6 billion people, whereupon it will be declining until 2065 until it reaches its bottom at 6.12 billion people. This process will repeat itself continuously. The vampire population will be declining until 2023 when it reaches its minimum of 289 thousand vampires, whereupon it will be growing until 2055 until it reaches its peak at 397 million vampires. This process will also repeat itself continuously and we will end up with a cyclical system of human-vampire co-existence


There are more interesting implications to our study: consider for example the organized groups of vampire hunters (“Buffy the Vampire Slayer”) or superhero hunters (“Blade”). The results seem even more interesting and all clues lead to the one simple fact – vampires might co-habitate with humans and modern science cannot refute their existence! Please see our poster for more information and turn to us with your questions and comments!

Happy Halloween and be careful not to bump into a vampire on your way to the costume party tonight! :)

WS and EL

Thursday, 27 October 2011

Vampires do exist!

Halloween is alsmost there and people involuntarily start to think about all these strange and spooky things media and popular culture taught us to belive it. And not just to believe but to think they are associated with Halloween (forget trick-or-treating, you will be watching horror movies again or will go to a costume party).

We, economists, are also subjected to the influce of popular culture. Ghosts, zombies, vampires - sometimes we try to use our creative minds to explore these things too. So, it might not be a big surprise for all of you that we discovered that (under some assumptions) vampires might exists (yes, they are here - maybe it is your strange neighbor or this shop attendant at the local gas station you have never seen at sunlight).

Well, if you are interested in our findings (and want to have a solid proof that vampires DO REALLY EXIST) follow the findings we will present in our blog.

We are going to present a new approach to modeling intertemporal interactions between vampires and humans based on several types of vampire behavior described in popular fiction literature, comic books, films and TV series. The main question we will try to answer would be: If vampires were real and lived amongst us, would their existence be possible? We will draw several scenarios of vampire-human co-existence and use models with differential equations to test whether vampires could have existed amongst us today and under what provisions. Although mathematical modeling usually enables researchers to reject most of the popular scenarios embedded in popular literature and films, you will be surprised to find out that it appears that several popular culture sources outline the models describing plausible and peaceful vampire and human co-existence.

So, who are the winners? Who described the co-existence of humans and vampires in the most accurate way (at least according to science)? What is your guess? The options are listed here:

a) Bram Stoker
b) Stephen King
c) Stephanie Meyer
d) Charlaine Harris

Do you want to know the right answer? Follow our blog and you will learn this (and more) and become a true expert on vampires!

Yours,

Wadim Strielkowski and Evgeny Lisin